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Retail investors have traditionally been characterised as chasing the markets and only moving into an asset once most of the returns have already been made. Our analysis of broad asset allocation to equities and fixed income shows that this is not the case. There has been a dramatic change, however, …
Although government bond yields remain at very low levels, the broader fixed income universe has much to offer at present. Indeed, record-low interest rates and central bank liquidity injections are creating very positive conditions for bond investing. In this paper, Nick Gartside looks at the factors driving bond markets, examines …
There has been much talk recently about whether the Chinese economy faces a hard landing. In this paper, we explain why we continue to believe that a soft landing is the most likely scenario. China is slowing, but will it be a hard or soft landing? Evidence continues to mount …
The dramatic depth, dispersion, and duration of the global financial crisis that began in 2007 has led to unprecedented actions by central banks. They have tried to both contain the fallout from the crisis and to speed the economic recovery. The most unusual of the new measures has been quantitative …
This paper describes some of the key numbers and arguments regarding the coming UK government budget on 21 March. All index performance is sourced from FactSet. Economic data is sourced from Bloomberg unless otherwise indicated. How much does the UK government owe? The total accumulated debt issued by the UK …
In this new low growth, low yield environment, there are opportunities to generate a sustainable yield from an equity portfolio. The safety of the dividend is of paramount importance. Investors can achieve a much higher predictability of excess returns within a high yield equity portfolio. Combining an attractive dividend yield …
The US stock market is benefiting from attractive valuations, loose monetary and fiscal policy, and relatively strong economic growth compared to Europe and Japan. While the American consumer remains cautious, the corporate sector has begun investing for the next upturn in growth. As a result of these factors, the US …
Introduction 2011 was an eventful year for fixed income investors as the eurozone debt crisis produced dislocations in the sovereign and corporate bond markets. In this paper, David Tan and Lisa Coleman discuss the events that drove markets last year, examine the policy responses to the crisis and look at …
Late last year, we opined that elections and political transitions during 2012, representing about 50% of the global economy, could play an even bigger relative role in market direction than they did in 2011, especially given the fragile state of the world. While markets have traded well recently, benefitting from …
Introduction Just how useful is the information that we receive from a stock market’s price to earnings (P/E) ratio? Very, when used in conjunction with other valuation metrics. But investors should appreciate that the apparent simplicity of the P/E ratio hides a number of underlying issues that they need to …
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